Predicting WR production with generalized linear models, part 2 – Breakouts, but later

Previously, I have written about my analysis that uses generalized linear models to predict whether rookies entering their first year will ever have "breakout" seasons. In that case, I used a logistic model, and because logistic models are cool (or, because I am investigating a similar question), I will do that again today. This article's …

Continue reading Predicting WR production with generalized linear models, part 2 – Breakouts, but later

Predicting WR production with generalized linear models, part 1 – Breakouts

It is 2019. If you are plugged into the online dynasty fantasy football community at all, you probably know that: Receivers with strong draft pedigree are more likely to be successful Receivers with strong production in the passing game in college are more likely to be successful, especially when considering context Receivers with strong athleticism …

Continue reading Predicting WR production with generalized linear models, part 1 – Breakouts

Tracking the 2017 RB class: D’Onta Foreman, Wayne Gallman, Elijah McGuire, *deep breath* and Matt Breida

This article is an installment of a series in which I use my Observational Rushing Numbers (ORNs) to shed light on just how good the 2017 rookie running backs were at carrying the ball. You can find each previous article about these numbers on the series’s hub. If this is your first time reading one of these, please, …

Continue reading Tracking the 2017 RB class: D’Onta Foreman, Wayne Gallman, Elijah McGuire, *deep breath* and Matt Breida

Tracking the 2017 RB class: Dalvin Cook

This article is an installment of a series in which I use my Observational Rushing Numbers (ORNs) to shed light on just how good the 2017 rookie running backs were at carrying the ball. You can find each previous article about these numbers on the series’s hub. For different reasons, plenty of 2017's top-drafted rookie backs struggled. Christian …

Continue reading Tracking the 2017 RB class: Dalvin Cook

Observational Rushing Numbers, Part Five-point-five: Improving the #brand and other housekeeping

For the rest of my ORN content, visit the series's hub. Before fully kicking off this summer's continuation of my rushing study, I've got to get some things out of the way. The first, and simplest, of them is to make this whole thing more accessible. A new name! Above other things, improving that approachability …

Continue reading Observational Rushing Numbers, Part Five-point-five: Improving the #brand and other housekeeping